Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 24°C or below as Buenos Aires' highest temperature on March 21, driven by aligned short-range forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global models like ECMWF, projecting daytime highs of 22-23°C amid a passing cool front and southerly winds. Historical March data shows average highs near 26°C, but current synoptic patterns—cloud cover and post-frontal stability—support subdued warming, with verified soundings confirming stable boundary layers. Challenges could arise from an unforeseen front stall allowing solar heating spikes or urban heat island effects inflating city-center readings above airport observations at Ezeiza, though low-probability ensemble outliers price this at under 1%.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 21 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 21 марта?
24°C или ниже 100.0%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$74,899 Объем
$74,899 Объем
24°C или ниже
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C или выше
<1%
24°C или ниже 100.0%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$74,899 Объем
$74,899 Объем
24°C или ниже
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 24°C or below as Buenos Aires' highest temperature on March 21, driven by aligned short-range forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global models like ECMWF, projecting daytime highs of 22-23°C amid a passing cool front and southerly winds. Historical March data shows average highs near 26°C, but current synoptic patterns—cloud cover and post-frontal stability—support subdued warming, with verified soundings confirming stable boundary layers. Challenges could arise from an unforeseen front stall allowing solar heating spikes or urban heat island effects inflating city-center readings above airport observations at Ezeiza, though low-probability ensemble outliers price this at under 1%.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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