Trader sentiment for Dallas's highest temperature on March 25 clusters tightly around 90-95°F, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast pinpointing a high near 91°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge fostering southerly winds and adiabatic heating. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a narrow spread, with most members clustering 89-93°F, though slight differences in boundary layer mixing and afternoon cumulus clouds differentiate the top bins—favoring 90-91°F if diurnally driven instability caps peaks, versus 92-93°F under clearer skies. Historical March anomalies support this warmth, exceeding the 67°F norm by 25°F, but shear-line convection risks trimming extremes, explaining the razor-thin 26% edge for 90-91°F over rivals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Dallas on March 25?
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 25?
90-91°F 26%
92-93°F 21%
94-95°F 21%
88-89°F 16%
79°F or below
2%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
26%
92-93°F
20%
94-95°F
21%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
1%
90-91°F 26%
92-93°F 21%
94-95°F 21%
88-89°F 16%
79°F or below
2%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
26%
92-93°F
20%
94-95°F
21%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Dallas's highest temperature on March 25 clusters tightly around 90-95°F, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast pinpointing a high near 91°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge fostering southerly winds and adiabatic heating. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a narrow spread, with most members clustering 89-93°F, though slight differences in boundary layer mixing and afternoon cumulus clouds differentiate the top bins—favoring 90-91°F if diurnally driven instability caps peaks, versus 92-93°F under clearer skies. Historical March anomalies support this warmth, exceeding the 67°F norm by 25°F, but shear-line convection risks trimming extremes, explaining the razor-thin 26% edge for 90-91°F over rivals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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