Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 52-53°F (31%) and 50-51°F (29.5%) as the highest temperature in NYC on March 25, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of 53°F at Central Park, aligning with ensemble averages from GFS (52°F) and ECMWF (54°F) models. Differentiating these close outcomes hinges on cloud cover and peak solar insolation: partly cloudy skies with southerly flow support 52-53°F via enhanced boundary layer mixing, while increased overcast from residual frontal moisture caps highs at 50-51°F. Historical March 25 averages (52°F) and recent 12z model runs showing slight cooling reinforce this tight clustering, with minimal risk of extremes given stable high-pressure ridging.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in NYC on March 25?
Highest temperature in NYC on March 25?
52-53°F 33%
50-51°F 30%
54-55°F 21%
48-49°F 14%
41°F or below
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
11%
46-47°F
14%
48-49°F
14%
50-51°F
30%
52-53°F
31%
54-55°F
21%
56-57°F
10%
58-59°F
11%
60°F or higher
10%
52-53°F 33%
50-51°F 30%
54-55°F 21%
48-49°F 14%
41°F or below
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
11%
46-47°F
14%
48-49°F
14%
50-51°F
30%
52-53°F
31%
54-55°F
21%
56-57°F
10%
58-59°F
11%
60°F or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 52-53°F (31%) and 50-51°F (29.5%) as the highest temperature in NYC on March 25, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of 53°F at Central Park, aligning with ensemble averages from GFS (52°F) and ECMWF (54°F) models. Differentiating these close outcomes hinges on cloud cover and peak solar insolation: partly cloudy skies with southerly flow support 52-53°F via enhanced boundary layer mixing, while increased overcast from residual frontal moisture caps highs at 50-51°F. Historical March 25 averages (52°F) and recent 12z model runs showing slight cooling reinforce this tight clustering, with minimal risk of extremes given stable high-pressure ridging.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы