Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 58°F or higher in Atlanta on March 25 (98.4% implied probability), driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast projecting afternoon highs near 68°F under partly sunny skies with light southerly winds. Ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF converges on this mild spring pattern, aligning with Atlanta's March climatology where daily highs average 65°F and dip below 58°F less than 10% of the time historically. Supporting evidence includes minimal cold air advection and stable upper-level ridging. Realistic challenges—a sudden frontal passage or convective cooling—remain improbable, as short-range forecast skill exceeds 90% accuracy for temperature within 10°F this close to the date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Atlanta on March 25?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 25?
58°F or higher 98.4%
52-53°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
$33,272 Объем
$33,272 Объем
39°F or below
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58°F or higher
98%
58°F or higher 98.4%
52-53°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
$33,272 Объем
$33,272 Объем
39°F or below
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58°F or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 58°F or higher in Atlanta on March 25 (98.4% implied probability), driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast projecting afternoon highs near 68°F under partly sunny skies with light southerly winds. Ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF converges on this mild spring pattern, aligning with Atlanta's March climatology where daily highs average 65°F and dip below 58°F less than 10% of the time historically. Supporting evidence includes minimal cold air advection and stable upper-level ridging. Realistic challenges—a sudden frontal passage or convective cooling—remain improbable, as short-range forecast skill exceeds 90% accuracy for temperature within 10°F this close to the date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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