Trader consensus clusters tightly around 11°C (20%) and 12°C (18.5%) for Seoul's highest temperature on March 22, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast indicating a daytime peak of 11-13°C amid mild southerly flows and partial cloud cover. Ensemble predictions from ECMWF and GFS models show low spread, with mean highs near 11.5°C, aligning with March climatology averages of 10-12°C but elevated slightly by weakening Siberian high pressure. Cooler 9-10°C outcomes (14.5% and 14%) hinge on potential cold air advection if jet stream dips south, while 13°C+ (11.5% combined) requires stronger solar insolation; upcoming 00Z model runs could shift odds as geopotential height anomalies clarify.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Seoul on March 22?
Highest temperature in Seoul on March 22?
11°C 23%
12°C 19%
9°C 14%
10°C 14%
4°C or below
1%
5°C
2%
6°C
5%
7°C
5%
8°C
9%
9°C
14%
10°C
14%
11°C
23%
12°C
19%
13°C
12%
14°C or higher
9%
11°C 23%
12°C 19%
9°C 14%
10°C 14%
4°C or below
1%
5°C
2%
6°C
5%
7°C
5%
8°C
9%
9°C
14%
10°C
14%
11°C
23%
12°C
19%
13°C
12%
14°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 11°C (20%) and 12°C (18.5%) for Seoul's highest temperature on March 22, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast indicating a daytime peak of 11-13°C amid mild southerly flows and partial cloud cover. Ensemble predictions from ECMWF and GFS models show low spread, with mean highs near 11.5°C, aligning with March climatology averages of 10-12°C but elevated slightly by weakening Siberian high pressure. Cooler 9-10°C outcomes (14.5% and 14%) hinge on potential cold air advection if jet stream dips south, while 13°C+ (11.5% combined) requires stronger solar insolation; upcoming 00Z model runs could shift odds as geopotential height anomalies clarify.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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