Trader consensus favors a Seattle high of 50-51°F at 35% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 52-53°F at 29.5%, as latest NOAA Global Forecast System ensembles project peak afternoon temperatures in this narrow range amid persistent marine layer influence from the Pacific. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences: GFS runs emphasize thicker stratus clouds limiting solar insolation and capping heating at 50-51°F, while ECMWF depictions of weakening onshore flow allow minor diurnal warming toward 52-53°F. National Weather Service point forecasts align near 51°F under partly cloudy skies, consistent with March climatology (historical average ~52°F) and current weak upper-level ridge, though shortwave trough risks could shave a degree or two.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сиэтле 22 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 22 марта?
50–51°F 35%
52-53°F 30%
48-49°F 18%
54-55°F 6%
$14,603 Объем
$14,603 Объем
45°F или ниже
3%
46-47°F
3%
48-49°F
18%
50–51°F
35%
52-53°F
30%
54-55°F
6%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64°F или выше
<1%
50–51°F 35%
52-53°F 30%
48-49°F 18%
54-55°F 6%
$14,603 Объем
$14,603 Объем
45°F или ниже
3%
46-47°F
3%
48-49°F
18%
50–51°F
35%
52-53°F
30%
54-55°F
6%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64°F или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a Seattle high of 50-51°F at 35% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 52-53°F at 29.5%, as latest NOAA Global Forecast System ensembles project peak afternoon temperatures in this narrow range amid persistent marine layer influence from the Pacific. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences: GFS runs emphasize thicker stratus clouds limiting solar insolation and capping heating at 50-51°F, while ECMWF depictions of weakening onshore flow allow minor diurnal warming toward 52-53°F. National Weather Service point forecasts align near 51°F under partly cloudy skies, consistent with March climatology (historical average ~52°F) and current weak upper-level ridge, though shortwave trough risks could shave a degree or two.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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