Trader consensus on Seattle's March 23 high temperature clusters tightly around 50-53°F, driven by ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models averaging 51-52°F amid persistent marine stratus clouds capping daytime heating. Recent overnight runs tilted slightly cooler, with GFS ensembles centering at 51°F due to stronger low-level onshore flow enhancing cloud cover and Puget Sound convergence zone effects, while ECMWF implies marginally higher odds for 52-53°F via subtle midday clearing. Late March climatology favors mid-50s highs (historical median ~54°F), but this year's cool anomaly from a stubborn upper trough differentiates the leading bins, with <5% odds for extremes reflecting low model spread.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сиэтле 23 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 23 марта?
50-51°F 37%
52-53°F 31%
48-49°F 11%
54-55°F 8%
41°F или ниже
1%
42-43°F
3%
44–45°F
2%
46-47°F
6%
48-49°F
16%
50-51°F
36%
52-53°F
31%
54-55°F
8%
56-57°F
5%
58-59°F
3%
60°F или выше
1%
50-51°F 37%
52-53°F 31%
48-49°F 11%
54-55°F 8%
41°F или ниже
1%
42-43°F
3%
44–45°F
2%
46-47°F
6%
48-49°F
16%
50-51°F
36%
52-53°F
31%
54-55°F
8%
56-57°F
5%
58-59°F
3%
60°F или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Seattle's March 23 high temperature clusters tightly around 50-53°F, driven by ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models averaging 51-52°F amid persistent marine stratus clouds capping daytime heating. Recent overnight runs tilted slightly cooler, with GFS ensembles centering at 51°F due to stronger low-level onshore flow enhancing cloud cover and Puget Sound convergence zone effects, while ECMWF implies marginally higher odds for 52-53°F via subtle midday clearing. Late March climatology favors mid-50s highs (historical median ~54°F), but this year's cool anomaly from a stubborn upper trough differentiates the leading bins, with <5% odds for extremes reflecting low model spread.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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