Trader consensus on Denver's March 24 high temperature tilts narrowly toward 82-83°F (27.5% implied probability) over 78-79°F (26.0%), driven by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs projecting a strong high-pressure ridge over the Rockies, fostering downslope chinook winds that amplify warming. These models show peak afternoon heat in the low 80s under clear skies and light winds, with 12z updates nudging GFS hotter to 84°F while ECMWF holds cooler at 79°F due to lingering mid-level clouds. Historical March data supports 80°F outliers (top 10% of days), but resolution hinges on official DEN airport observations; uncertainty stems from frontal timing, potentially capping at 78°F if moisture intrudes. Watch 18z model refresh for shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Denver on March 24?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 24?
82-83°F 28%
78-79°F 27%
80-81°F 25%
72-73°F 14%
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
28%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
12%
88°F or higher
12%
82-83°F 28%
78-79°F 27%
80-81°F 25%
72-73°F 14%
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
28%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
12%
88°F or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Denver International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDEN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 20, 2026, 6:19 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Denver's March 24 high temperature tilts narrowly toward 82-83°F (27.5% implied probability) over 78-79°F (26.0%), driven by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs projecting a strong high-pressure ridge over the Rockies, fostering downslope chinook winds that amplify warming. These models show peak afternoon heat in the low 80s under clear skies and light winds, with 12z updates nudging GFS hotter to 84°F while ECMWF holds cooler at 79°F due to lingering mid-level clouds. Historical March data supports 80°F outliers (top 10% of days), but resolution hinges on official DEN airport observations; uncertainty stems from frontal timing, potentially capping at 78°F if moisture intrudes. Watch 18z model refresh for shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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