Trader sentiment for Seoul's March 25 high temperature hinges on divergent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, clustering probabilities around 11-15°C amid early spring variability. Leading odds favor 15°C or higher at 27.5% due to potential high-pressure ridging and southerly winds boosting advection of mild air, while 13°C (21.5%) and 14°C (21%) reflect baseline scenarios with partial cloud cover tempering insolation; 11-12°C outcomes gain traction from lingering cold-air advection risks post-recent fronts. Historical norms average 11-12°C, but Seoul's urban heat island effect often adds 1-2°C, with final differentiation tied to short-range mesoscale developments like boundary-layer mixing by tomorrow's model runs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Seoul on March 25?
Highest temperature in Seoul on March 25?
15°C or higher 28%
14°C 23%
13°C 20%
12°C 16%
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
2%
9°C
7%
10°C
9%
11°C
19%
12°C
16%
13°C
20%
14°C
21%
15°C or higher
28%
15°C or higher 28%
14°C 23%
13°C 20%
12°C 16%
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
2%
9°C
7%
10°C
9%
11°C
19%
12°C
16%
13°C
20%
14°C
21%
15°C or higher
28%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Seoul's March 25 high temperature hinges on divergent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, clustering probabilities around 11-15°C amid early spring variability. Leading odds favor 15°C or higher at 27.5% due to potential high-pressure ridging and southerly winds boosting advection of mild air, while 13°C (21.5%) and 14°C (21%) reflect baseline scenarios with partial cloud cover tempering insolation; 11-12°C outcomes gain traction from lingering cold-air advection risks post-recent fronts. Historical norms average 11-12°C, but Seoul's urban heat island effect often adds 1-2°C, with final differentiation tied to short-range mesoscale developments like boundary-layer mixing by tomorrow's model runs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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