Current high-resolution forecasts from China's national weather service peg Chongqing's March 25 high temperature in the 17-20°C range, fueling the tight cluster of 17.5% implied probabilities across those outcomes and reflecting ensemble model spread amid lingering cool northerly flows. Recent model updates show ECMWF and GFS leaning slightly warmer toward 19-20°C due to building subtropical high pressure, while domestic CMA runs factor in urban heat island effects and partial cloud cover that could cap peaks at 17-18°C. Historical March 25 data averages 18.5°C but varies ±3°C with frontal passages; traders eye tomorrow's 12Z updates for resolution-defining precision on the diurnal maximum. Uncertainty stems from short-range convective risks differentiating the top contenders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 25?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 25?
15°C or below 21%
18°C 18%
19°C 18%
17°C 18%
15°C or below
21%
16°C
17%
17°C
18%
18°C
18%
19°C
18%
20°C
18%
21°C
17%
22°C
16%
23°C
15%
24°C
13%
25°C or higher
2%
15°C or below 21%
18°C 18%
19°C 18%
17°C 18%
15°C or below
21%
16°C
17%
17°C
18%
18°C
18%
19°C
18%
20°C
18%
21°C
17%
22°C
16%
23°C
15%
24°C
13%
25°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 21, 2026, 6:22 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current high-resolution forecasts from China's national weather service peg Chongqing's March 25 high temperature in the 17-20°C range, fueling the tight cluster of 17.5% implied probabilities across those outcomes and reflecting ensemble model spread amid lingering cool northerly flows. Recent model updates show ECMWF and GFS leaning slightly warmer toward 19-20°C due to building subtropical high pressure, while domestic CMA runs factor in urban heat island effects and partial cloud cover that could cap peaks at 17-18°C. Historical March 25 data averages 18.5°C but varies ±3°C with frontal passages; traders eye tomorrow's 12Z updates for resolution-defining precision on the diurnal maximum. Uncertainty stems from short-range convective risks differentiating the top contenders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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