Trader consensus favors 18°C (37%) as Chongqing's highest temperature on March 23, closely trailed by 17°C (28%), reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on 17-19°C peaks amid spring frontal variability. Differentiating factors include uncertain cloud cover—persistent overcast from upstream moisture suppresses highs to 17°C, while afternoon clearing or southerly winds could boost urban heat island effects, elevating readings toward 20°C (18%). Historical March 23 averages near 17°C, per China Meteorological Administration data, but recent model runs incorporating yesterday's radiosonde observations show slight warming trends, heightening 19-20°C odds; final hourly guidance expected soon may resolve the tight race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 23?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 23?
18°C 31%
17°C 26%
20°C 15%
19°C 12%
14°C or below
3%
15°C
3%
16°C
11%
17°C
28%
18°C
38%
19°C
12%
20°C
18%
21°C
4%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
18°C 31%
17°C 26%
20°C 15%
19°C 12%
14°C or below
3%
15°C
3%
16°C
11%
17°C
28%
18°C
38%
19°C
12%
20°C
18%
21°C
4%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 18°C (37%) as Chongqing's highest temperature on March 23, closely trailed by 17°C (28%), reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on 17-19°C peaks amid spring frontal variability. Differentiating factors include uncertain cloud cover—persistent overcast from upstream moisture suppresses highs to 17°C, while afternoon clearing or southerly winds could boost urban heat island effects, elevating readings toward 20°C (18%). Historical March 23 averages near 17°C, per China Meteorological Administration data, but recent model runs incorporating yesterday's radiosonde observations show slight warming trends, heightening 19-20°C odds; final hourly guidance expected soon may resolve the tight race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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