Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Chongqing high of 17°C or 18°C on March 24, with each at 32.5% implied probability, reflecting tight clustering in ensemble weather models from the ECMWF and GFS amid a mild spring ridge over central China. Recent China Meteorological Administration updates show diurnal peaks stabilizing near 17.5°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, differentiating these from 19°C (22.5%) via limited convective heating potential in the urban basin. Cooler 16°C (19.0%) odds stem from lingering frontal moisture risks, while historical March 24 averages (16-19°C) and current 15°C morning readings underscore model divergence in afternoon insolation effects, heightening uncertainty as final NWP runs loom.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 24?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 24?
17°C 34%
18°C 34%
19°C 23%
16°C 19%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
4%
13°C
16%
14°C
6%
15°C
18%
16°C
19%
17°C
33%
18°C
33%
19°C
23%
20°C or higher
18%
17°C 34%
18°C 34%
19°C 23%
16°C 19%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
4%
13°C
16%
14°C
6%
15°C
18%
16°C
19%
17°C
33%
18°C
33%
19°C
23%
20°C or higher
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Chongqing high of 17°C or 18°C on March 24, with each at 32.5% implied probability, reflecting tight clustering in ensemble weather models from the ECMWF and GFS amid a mild spring ridge over central China. Recent China Meteorological Administration updates show diurnal peaks stabilizing near 17.5°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, differentiating these from 19°C (22.5%) via limited convective heating potential in the urban basin. Cooler 16°C (19.0%) odds stem from lingering frontal moisture risks, while historical March 24 averages (16-19°C) and current 15°C morning readings underscore model divergence in afternoon insolation effects, heightening uncertainty as final NWP runs loom.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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