Traders' near-unanimous consensus on a 20°C high temperature in Chongqing on March 21 stems from official observations from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), which recorded a peak of exactly 20°C at key stations like Shapingba, aligning with ensemble model forecasts from ECMWF and GFS that projected mild conditions under partly cloudy skies and light winds. March climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 17-19°C amid early spring warming, bolstered by recent satellite data showing stable atmospheric stability. A challenge would require a late-reported outlier from a peripheral station exceeding 21°C or a data revision, though CMA verification protocols make this improbable given the 0.1% market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чунцине 21 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Чунцине 21 марта?
20°C 100.0%
11°C или ниже <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$32,666 Объем
$32,666 Объем
11°C или ниже
Нет
12°C
Нет
13°C
Нет
14°C
Нет
15°C
Нет
16°C
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C
Нет
19°C
Нет
20°C
Да
21°C или выше
Нет
20°C 100.0%
11°C или ниже <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$32,666 Объем
$32,666 Объем
11°C или ниже
Нет
12°C
Нет
13°C
Нет
14°C
Нет
15°C
Нет
16°C
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C
Нет
19°C
Нет
20°C
Да
21°C или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders' near-unanimous consensus on a 20°C high temperature in Chongqing on March 21 stems from official observations from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), which recorded a peak of exactly 20°C at key stations like Shapingba, aligning with ensemble model forecasts from ECMWF and GFS that projected mild conditions under partly cloudy skies and light winds. March climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 17-19°C amid early spring warming, bolstered by recent satellite data showing stable atmospheric stability. A challenge would require a late-reported outlier from a peripheral station exceeding 21°C or a data revision, though CMA verification protocols make this improbable given the 0.1% market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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