Trader consensus heavily favors a London high of 13°C on March 22 (72.5% implied probability), propelled by the Met Office's latest forecast projecting a peak around 13°C under mild westerly airflow advecting warmer Atlantic air. Historical March averages at Heathrow hover near 11.5°C, but recent mild spells—evidenced by 12-14°C readings in southern England earlier this week—support this outlook, with ECMWF ensemble models converging on a 12-14°C range. Lower odds for 12°C (12.3%) and 14°C (9.0%) reflect model spread and typical diurnal variation, while extremes fade amid settled pressure patterns; traders eye hourly updates from official stations for final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лондоне 22 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Лондоне 22 марта?
13°C 71%
12°C 17.6%
14°C 7%
15°C 1.5%
$152,785 Объем
$152,785 Объем
7°C или ниже
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
18%
13°C
71%
14°C
7%
15°C
2%
16°C
<1%
17°C или выше
<1%
13°C 71%
12°C 17.6%
14°C 7%
15°C 1.5%
$152,785 Объем
$152,785 Объем
7°C или ниже
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
18%
13°C
71%
14°C
7%
15°C
2%
16°C
<1%
17°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 18, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a London high of 13°C on March 22 (72.5% implied probability), propelled by the Met Office's latest forecast projecting a peak around 13°C under mild westerly airflow advecting warmer Atlantic air. Historical March averages at Heathrow hover near 11.5°C, but recent mild spells—evidenced by 12-14°C readings in southern England earlier this week—support this outlook, with ECMWF ensemble models converging on a 12-14°C range. Lower odds for 12°C (12.3%) and 14°C (9.0%) reflect model spread and typical diurnal variation, while extremes fade amid settled pressure patterns; traders eye hourly updates from official stations for final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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