Trader sentiment for Chongqing's March 26 high temperature reflects deep uncertainty in spring forecasts, with models diverging on a cold front's influence versus persistent warmth from urban heat island effects and El Niño residuals, splitting odds evenly between cool (18°C or below at 25%), hot (28°C+ at 25%), and mid-range outcomes. Historical data from China Meteorological Administration shows late-March averages around 20°C, but recent days hit 25°C amid low cloud cover; ECMWF and GFS ensembles project 21-24°C peaks, though microclimate variations in the Yangtze River basin could swing results by 3-5°C. Key watch: afternoon convective activity differentiating clustered 21-27°C bins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 26?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 26?
21°C 18%
22°C 18%
18°C or below 17%
19°C 17%
18°C or below
17%
19°C
17%
20°C
17%
21°C
18%
22°C
18%
23°C
17%
24°C
17%
25°C
17%
26°C
17%
27°C
17%
28°C or higher
17%
21°C 18%
22°C 18%
18°C or below 17%
19°C 17%
18°C or below
17%
19°C
17%
20°C
17%
21°C
18%
22°C
18%
23°C
17%
24°C
17%
25°C
17%
26°C
17%
27°C
17%
28°C or higher
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 22, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Chongqing's March 26 high temperature reflects deep uncertainty in spring forecasts, with models diverging on a cold front's influence versus persistent warmth from urban heat island effects and El Niño residuals, splitting odds evenly between cool (18°C or below at 25%), hot (28°C+ at 25%), and mid-range outcomes. Historical data from China Meteorological Administration shows late-March averages around 20°C, but recent days hit 25°C amid low cloud cover; ECMWF and GFS ensembles project 21-24°C peaks, though microclimate variations in the Yangtze River basin could swing results by 3-5°C. Key watch: afternoon convective activity differentiating clustered 21-27°C bins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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