Trader sentiment on Tel Aviv's peak temperature March 26 shows tight clustering around mid-teens outcomes (13-17°C at 16-17% each), driven by ensemble forecast divergences where ECMWF and GFS means cluster near 16°C but members span 10-22°C amid an approaching upper trough. Cool biases stem from recent cold front remnants pulling northerly winds, suppressing highs below seasonal norms (historical March 26 average ~20°C), while 21°C+ odds (25%) reflect potential warm föhn-like descent if the trough weakens. ≤11°C (25%) hedges extreme cloud cover or precipitation per Israel Meteorological Service outlooks, with final resolution hinging on 00Z model runs capturing Mediterranean sea breeze modulation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 26?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 26?
17°C 19%
16°C 17%
13°C 17%
14°C 17%
11°C or below
17%
12°C
16%
13°C
17%
14°C
17%
15°C
17%
16°C
17%
17°C
19%
18°C
16%
19°C
14%
20°C
12%
21°C or higher
17%
17°C 19%
16°C 17%
13°C 17%
14°C 17%
11°C or below
17%
12°C
16%
13°C
17%
14°C
17%
15°C
17%
16°C
17%
17°C
19%
18°C
16%
19°C
14%
20°C
12%
21°C or higher
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Tel Aviv's peak temperature March 26 shows tight clustering around mid-teens outcomes (13-17°C at 16-17% each), driven by ensemble forecast divergences where ECMWF and GFS means cluster near 16°C but members span 10-22°C amid an approaching upper trough. Cool biases stem from recent cold front remnants pulling northerly winds, suppressing highs below seasonal norms (historical March 26 average ~20°C), while 21°C+ odds (25%) reflect potential warm föhn-like descent if the trough weakens. ≤11°C (25%) hedges extreme cloud cover or precipitation per Israel Meteorological Service outlooks, with final resolution hinging on 00Z model runs capturing Mediterranean sea breeze modulation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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