Trader sentiment on Polymarket tilts toward 27°C or higher in Taipei on March 26 (45.5% implied probability), propelled by the Central Weather Administration's latest forecast indicating daytime highs of 27-29°C amid dominant subtropical high pressure and light winds following recent northeasterly surges. Observations from March 24-25 show temperatures peaking at 25-26°C, exceeding the late-March historical average of 24°C, with urban heat island effects amplifying maxima. The 23°C outcome (22.5%) serves as a hedge against possible afternoon sea-breeze moderation or isolated clouds, per ECMWF model ensembles, while probabilities below 22°C remain low given minimal frontal activity risks and consistent warming trends.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Taipei on March 26?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 26?
27°C or higher 46%
26°C 24%
25°C 22%
24°C 20%
17°C or below
2%
18°C
5%
19°C
7%
20°C
5%
21°C
3%
22°C
9%
23°C
22%
24°C
20%
25°C
20%
26°C
16%
27°C or higher
46%
27°C or higher 46%
26°C 24%
25°C 22%
24°C 20%
17°C or below
2%
18°C
5%
19°C
7%
20°C
5%
21°C
3%
22°C
9%
23°C
22%
24°C
20%
25°C
20%
26°C
16%
27°C or higher
46%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 22, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Polymarket tilts toward 27°C or higher in Taipei on March 26 (45.5% implied probability), propelled by the Central Weather Administration's latest forecast indicating daytime highs of 27-29°C amid dominant subtropical high pressure and light winds following recent northeasterly surges. Observations from March 24-25 show temperatures peaking at 25-26°C, exceeding the late-March historical average of 24°C, with urban heat island effects amplifying maxima. The 23°C outcome (22.5%) serves as a hedge against possible afternoon sea-breeze moderation or isolated clouds, per ECMWF model ensembles, while probabilities below 22°C remain low given minimal frontal activity risks and consistent warming trends.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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