Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward mid-70s highs for Los Angeles on March 27, with 74-75°F leading at 26% implied probability, closely trailed by 72-73°F (23.5%) and 76-77°F (20.5%), reflecting tight model spread amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over California. National Weather Service forecasts a high near 76°F at LAX, driven by sunny skies and light offshore flow eroding the morning marine layer by midday, allowing boundary-layer mixing to boost peaks. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF diverge by 2-3°F due to varying cloud timing and sea-breeze onset, while historical March norms (71°F average) and weak El Niño residuals temper extremes above 80°F. Resolution hinges on official LAX observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Los Angeles on March 27?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 27?
76-77°F 27%
74-75°F 26%
72-73°F 17%
84-85°F 10.1%
71°F or below
10%
72-73°F
23%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
8%
90°F or higher
3%
76-77°F 27%
74-75°F 26%
72-73°F 17%
84-85°F 10.1%
71°F or below
10%
72-73°F
23%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
8%
90°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward mid-70s highs for Los Angeles on March 27, with 74-75°F leading at 26% implied probability, closely trailed by 72-73°F (23.5%) and 76-77°F (20.5%), reflecting tight model spread amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over California. National Weather Service forecasts a high near 76°F at LAX, driven by sunny skies and light offshore flow eroding the morning marine layer by midday, allowing boundary-layer mixing to boost peaks. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF diverge by 2-3°F due to varying cloud timing and sea-breeze onset, while historical March norms (71°F average) and weak El Niño residuals temper extremes above 80°F. Resolution hinges on official LAX observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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