Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement from the National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA, with ensemble runs from GFS and ECMWF projecting Dallas highs clustered between 60-65°F on March 28 amid lingering effects of a recent cool front. Current upper-air patterns feature weak southerly winds and partial cloud cover, introducing minor uncertainty that differentiates the top bins—slight diurnal heating variations could push maxima toward 64-65°F (20.5% implied odds) or hold at 62-63°F (23%). Yesterday's high of around 68°F cooled overnight, aligning with climatological March norms of 65-70°F but moderated by post-frontal stability. New observational data and evening forecast tweaks may refine probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Dallas on March 28?
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 28?
62-63°F 22%
64-65°F 21%
60-61°F 18%
66-67°F 17%
$12,108 Объем
$12,108 Объем
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
8%
60-61°F
18%
62-63°F
22%
64-65°F
21%
66-67°F
17%
68°F or higher
13%
62-63°F 22%
64-65°F 21%
60-61°F 18%
66-67°F 17%
$12,108 Объем
$12,108 Объем
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
8%
60-61°F
18%
62-63°F
22%
64-65°F
21%
66-67°F
17%
68°F or higher
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement from the National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA, with ensemble runs from GFS and ECMWF projecting Dallas highs clustered between 60-65°F on March 28 amid lingering effects of a recent cool front. Current upper-air patterns feature weak southerly winds and partial cloud cover, introducing minor uncertainty that differentiates the top bins—slight diurnal heating variations could push maxima toward 64-65°F (20.5% implied odds) or hold at 62-63°F (23%). Yesterday's high of around 68°F cooled overnight, aligning with climatological March norms of 65-70°F but moderated by post-frontal stability. New observational data and evening forecast tweaks may refine probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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