Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward upper-70s highs in Miami on March 29, with 78-79°F leading at 34% implied probability and 76-77°F close behind at 25.5%, reflecting National Weather Service guidance amid lingering effects of a recent cool front that suppressed temperatures into the 70s over the past week. Ensemble forecast models like GFS and ECMWF show convergence on peak daytime readings near 78°F under partly cloudy skies and moderate sea breezes, though discrepancies arise from varying cloud cover projections—thicker overcast could cap highs at 76-77°F, while clearer conditions boost to 78-79°F. Historical late-March averages hover around 80°F, but current upper-air patterns favor moderation; new model runs expected overnight may sharpen the outlook ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Miami on March 29?
Highest temperature in Miami on March 29?
78-79°F 34%
76-77°F 26%
80-81°F 17%
82-83°F 15%
71°F or below
5%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
15%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
2%
78-79°F 34%
76-77°F 26%
80-81°F 17%
82-83°F 15%
71°F or below
5%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
15%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward upper-70s highs in Miami on March 29, with 78-79°F leading at 34% implied probability and 76-77°F close behind at 25.5%, reflecting National Weather Service guidance amid lingering effects of a recent cool front that suppressed temperatures into the 70s over the past week. Ensemble forecast models like GFS and ECMWF show convergence on peak daytime readings near 78°F under partly cloudy skies and moderate sea breezes, though discrepancies arise from varying cloud cover projections—thicker overcast could cap highs at 76-77°F, while clearer conditions boost to 78-79°F. Historical late-March averages hover around 80°F, but current upper-air patterns favor moderation; new model runs expected overnight may sharpen the outlook ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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