Trader consensus clusters around 48-53°F for Seattle's March 25 high temperature, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of sunny skies and a peak near 52°F amid a developing high-pressure ridge over the Pacific Northwest. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a tight spread with means at 51°F, tempered by cool morning marine air, light afternoon westerly winds, and March's modest solar insolation limiting diurnal warming to 10-15°F. Differentiating the top bins, subtle variations in cloud breaks and urban heat island effects at Sea-Tac Airport could nudge outcomes; historical March 25 highs average 55°F but vary ±4°F, fueling the close odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Seattle on March 25?
Highest temperature in Seattle on March 25?
50-51°F 29%
48-49°F 27%
52-53°F 26%
46-47°F 16%
39°F or below
1%
40-41°F
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
8%
46-47°F
16%
48-49°F
27%
50-51°F
29%
52-53°F
26%
54-55°F
15%
56-57°F
10%
58°F or higher
8%
50-51°F 29%
48-49°F 27%
52-53°F 26%
46-47°F 16%
39°F or below
1%
40-41°F
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
8%
46-47°F
16%
48-49°F
27%
50-51°F
29%
52-53°F
26%
54-55°F
15%
56-57°F
10%
58°F or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 48-53°F for Seattle's March 25 high temperature, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of sunny skies and a peak near 52°F amid a developing high-pressure ridge over the Pacific Northwest. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a tight spread with means at 51°F, tempered by cool morning marine air, light afternoon westerly winds, and March's modest solar insolation limiting diurnal warming to 10-15°F. Differentiating the top bins, subtle variations in cloud breaks and urban heat island effects at Sea-Tac Airport could nudge outcomes; historical March 25 highs average 55°F but vary ±4°F, fueling the close odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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