Trader sentiment favors mild highs of 19–21°C for Chengdu on March 25, driven by converging global weather models like ECMWF and GFS projecting afternoon peaks around 20°C under partial cloud cover from a weakening western trough. Leading 21°C odds at 27.5% reflect optimistic boundary layer heating from residual anticyclonic flow, while 20°C and 19°C vie closely due to model divergences in convective timing and low-level moisture advection. Historical March 25 averages hover near 18°C per China Meteorological Administration data, but recent +2°C anomalies from urban heat and early spring warming elevate upper-end risks. Final CMA updates expected midday could resolve the tight spread.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on March 25?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on March 25?
21°C 28%
20°C 20%
14°C or below 19%
19°C 19%
14°C or below
19%
15°C
9%
16°C
9%
17°C
10%
18°C
12%
19°C
19%
20°C
20%
21°C
28%
22°C
13%
23°C
13%
24°C or higher
14%
21°C 28%
20°C 20%
14°C or below 19%
19°C 19%
14°C or below
19%
15°C
9%
16°C
9%
17°C
10%
18°C
12%
19°C
19%
20°C
20%
21°C
28%
22°C
13%
23°C
13%
24°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 21, 2026, 6:28 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment favors mild highs of 19–21°C for Chengdu on March 25, driven by converging global weather models like ECMWF and GFS projecting afternoon peaks around 20°C under partial cloud cover from a weakening western trough. Leading 21°C odds at 27.5% reflect optimistic boundary layer heating from residual anticyclonic flow, while 20°C and 19°C vie closely due to model divergences in convective timing and low-level moisture advection. Historical March 25 averages hover near 18°C per China Meteorological Administration data, but recent +2°C anomalies from urban heat and early spring warming elevate upper-end risks. Final CMA updates expected midday could resolve the tight spread.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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