Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 78-83°F for Miami's March 27 high temperature, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast of 82°F amid a high-pressure ridge promoting sunny skies and light winds. Ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF show minimal spread, with mean projections near 81°F, bolstered by warm sea surface temperatures in the 78-80°F range off South Florida that limit cooling via sea breeze. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cumulus clouds capping peaks at 78-79°F versus clearer conditions pushing to 82-83°F, against a March climatological average of 80°F; historical data shows 25% variability from frontal passages, now unlikely per NOAA upper-air analysis. Key watch: evening model updates could shift odds if instability emerges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Miami on March 27?
Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?
78-79°F 25%
80-81°F 25%
82-83°F 25%
84-85°F 17%
71°F or below
9%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
17%
90°F or higher
8%
78-79°F 25%
80-81°F 25%
82-83°F 25%
84-85°F 17%
71°F or below
9%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
17%
90°F or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 78-83°F for Miami's March 27 high temperature, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast of 82°F amid a high-pressure ridge promoting sunny skies and light winds. Ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF show minimal spread, with mean projections near 81°F, bolstered by warm sea surface temperatures in the 78-80°F range off South Florida that limit cooling via sea breeze. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cumulus clouds capping peaks at 78-79°F versus clearer conditions pushing to 82-83°F, against a March climatological average of 80°F; historical data shows 25% variability from frontal passages, now unlikely per NOAA upper-air analysis. Key watch: evening model updates could shift odds if instability emerges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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