Trader sentiment for Miami's highest temperature on March 26 clusters tightly around 78-85°F, with 78-79°F leading at 29.5% implied probability, driven by the latest NOAA Weather Prediction Center guidance showing ensemble model means near 79°F amid neutral ENSO conditions transitioning to weak La Niña. Differentiating factors include sea breeze timing—earlier onset favors cooler 78-79°F peaks via enhanced onshore flow—versus delayed breezes or upper-level ridging boosting 82-85°F outcomes through prolonged insolation. Historical March 26 highs average 79°F, but current model spread reflects uncertainty in low-level moisture and frontal remnants, with GFS leaning warmer (81°F) and ECMWF cooler (78°F); watch 11-day forecast updates for shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Майами 26 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Майами 26 марта?
80-81°F 25%
82-83°F 25%
84-85°F 25%
78-79°F 24%
71°F или ниже
<1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
14%
88-89°F
14%
90°F или выше
3%
80-81°F 25%
82-83°F 25%
84-85°F 25%
78-79°F 24%
71°F или ниже
<1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
14%
88-89°F
14%
90°F или выше
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Miami's highest temperature on March 26 clusters tightly around 78-85°F, with 78-79°F leading at 29.5% implied probability, driven by the latest NOAA Weather Prediction Center guidance showing ensemble model means near 79°F amid neutral ENSO conditions transitioning to weak La Niña. Differentiating factors include sea breeze timing—earlier onset favors cooler 78-79°F peaks via enhanced onshore flow—versus delayed breezes or upper-level ridging boosting 82-85°F outcomes through prolonged insolation. Historical March 26 highs average 79°F, but current model spread reflects uncertainty in low-level moisture and frontal remnants, with GFS leaning warmer (81°F) and ECMWF cooler (78°F); watch 11-day forecast updates for shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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