Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast pins the March 22 maximum temperature at 25°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly winds, anchoring trader consensus at 66% implied probability and sidelining outliers like 27°C+. Recent data shows March 20 highs of 24.6°C and 21st readings hovering near 25°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge suppressing extremes, aligning with seasonal norms where March averages 23-25°C but rarely exceeds 28°C pre-summer monsoon onset. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS converge on this mild outlook, with low volatility reducing odds for deviations; traders eye tomorrow's 0900 UTC update for shifts in boundary layer stability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 22 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Гонконге 22 марта?
25°C 94%
26°C 6.5%
27°C или выше 3.8%
24°C 3.5%
$51,031 Объем
$51,031 Объем
17°C или ниже
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
80%
26°C
7%
27°C или выше
4%
25°C 94%
26°C 6.5%
27°C или выше 3.8%
24°C 3.5%
$51,031 Объем
$51,031 Объем
17°C или ниже
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
80%
26°C
7%
27°C или выше
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast pins the March 22 maximum temperature at 25°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly winds, anchoring trader consensus at 66% implied probability and sidelining outliers like 27°C+. Recent data shows March 20 highs of 24.6°C and 21st readings hovering near 25°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge suppressing extremes, aligning with seasonal norms where March averages 23-25°C but rarely exceeds 28°C pre-summer monsoon onset. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS converge on this mild outlook, with low volatility reducing odds for deviations; traders eye tomorrow's 0900 UTC update for shifts in boundary layer stability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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