Environment Canada's latest forecasts for Toronto on March 22 project a daytime high of 8–10°C amid persistent cold northerly flows and lingering winter patterns, anchoring trader consensus at 99% for 12°C or below. This aligns with seasonal climatology—Toronto's late-March average high is about 7°C—and multi-model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS showing low confidence in warming above 12°C due to upper-level troughing. Supporting evidence includes recent observations of sub-freezing nights and minimal solar insolation from cloud cover. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt jet stream ridge shift or foehn-like warming off Lake Ontario, though probabilities remain under 1% per model outputs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on March 22?
Highest temperature in Toronto on March 22?
12°C or below 98.9%
14°C <1%
13°C <1%
16°C <1%
$104,251 Объем
$104,251 Объем
12°C or below
99%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
12°C or below 98.9%
14°C <1%
13°C <1%
16°C <1%
$104,251 Объем
$104,251 Объем
12°C or below
99%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment Canada's latest forecasts for Toronto on March 22 project a daytime high of 8–10°C amid persistent cold northerly flows and lingering winter patterns, anchoring trader consensus at 99% for 12°C or below. This aligns with seasonal climatology—Toronto's late-March average high is about 7°C—and multi-model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS showing low confidence in warming above 12°C due to upper-level troughing. Supporting evidence includes recent observations of sub-freezing nights and minimal solar insolation from cloud cover. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt jet stream ridge shift or foehn-like warming off Lake Ontario, though probabilities remain under 1% per model outputs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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