Trader sentiment favors a high of 6°C or higher in Toronto on March 24 at 38% implied probability, driven by the latest Environment Canada and ECMWF forecasts projecting daytime highs of 6-8°C amid a mild late-winter pattern with southerly winds and ridging aloft. This aligns with Toronto's March climatology, where average highs hover around 5-7°C, but recent model runs show strengthening warm air advection following a brief cold snap earlier this week. Lower odds for sub-4°C outcomes reflect minimal risk of arctic air intrusion per GFS ensembles, though traders note 10-20% model spread introduces uncertainty ahead of afternoon observations from Pearson Airport, the market's resolution source.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Торонто 24 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Торонто 24 марта?
6°C или выше 39%
5°C 26%
4°C 19%
2°C 11%
-4°C или ниже
<1%
-3°C
1%
-2°C
2%
-1°C
2%
0°C
2%
1°C
3%
2°C
11%
3°C
7%
4°C
19%
5°C
22%
6°C или выше
39%
6°C или выше 39%
5°C 26%
4°C 19%
2°C 11%
-4°C или ниже
<1%
-3°C
1%
-2°C
2%
-1°C
2%
0°C
2%
1°C
3%
2°C
11%
3°C
7%
4°C
19%
5°C
22%
6°C или выше
39%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 20, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment favors a high of 6°C or higher in Toronto on March 24 at 38% implied probability, driven by the latest Environment Canada and ECMWF forecasts projecting daytime highs of 6-8°C amid a mild late-winter pattern with southerly winds and ridging aloft. This aligns with Toronto's March climatology, where average highs hover around 5-7°C, but recent model runs show strengthening warm air advection following a brief cold snap earlier this week. Lower odds for sub-4°C outcomes reflect minimal risk of arctic air intrusion per GFS ensembles, though traders note 10-20% model spread introduces uncertainty ahead of afternoon observations from Pearson Airport, the market's resolution source.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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