Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 3°C (32%) or 4°C (25.5%) in Toronto on March 23, driven primarily by Environment Canada's latest forecast predicting a daytime maximum near 4°C under overcast skies with light flurries, reflecting a shallow cold air mass lingering from recent Arctic outflow. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS show a tight spread of 2–5°C, differentiating outcomes via jet stream positioning: a northward dip favors 3–4°C by trapping cool northerly flow, while any ridge amplification could push 5°C+. Historical March 23 highs average 5–6°C but skew lower in La Niña winters like this one; key watch is morning observations and afternoon heating, with resolution hinging on Pearson Airport's official max temp.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on March 23?
Highest temperature in Toronto on March 23?
3°C 39%
4°C 24%
2°C 19%
5°C or higher 16%
-5°C or below
<1%
-4°C
1%
-3°C
1%
-2°C
1%
-1°C
1%
0°C
3%
1°C
10%
2°C
19%
3°C
39%
4°C
24%
5°C or higher
16%
3°C 39%
4°C 24%
2°C 19%
5°C or higher 16%
-5°C or below
<1%
-4°C
1%
-3°C
1%
-2°C
1%
-1°C
1%
0°C
3%
1°C
10%
2°C
19%
3°C
39%
4°C
24%
5°C or higher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 3°C (32%) or 4°C (25.5%) in Toronto on March 23, driven primarily by Environment Canada's latest forecast predicting a daytime maximum near 4°C under overcast skies with light flurries, reflecting a shallow cold air mass lingering from recent Arctic outflow. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS show a tight spread of 2–5°C, differentiating outcomes via jet stream positioning: a northward dip favors 3–4°C by trapping cool northerly flow, while any ridge amplification could push 5°C+. Historical March 23 highs average 5–6°C but skew lower in La Niña winters like this one; key watch is morning observations and afternoon heating, with resolution hinging on Pearson Airport's official max temp.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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