Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 33°C (39.5%) as Singapore's highest temperature on March 22, narrowly ahead of 32°C (33.5%), propelled by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest forecast indicating a daytime peak near 33°C with mostly sunny intervals and minimal afternoon thundershowers. March typically delivers equatorial highs of 32-34°C, but lingering El Niño conditions have suppressed rainfall, boosting solar insolation and urban heat island effects in the densely built city-state. Key differentiators include sea breeze strength—expected to moderate slightly—and cloud cover variability; ensemble models like ECMWF imply a 55-65% probability of 33°C, while 34°C hinges on prolonged clear skies, underscoring tight uncertainty in fine-scale temperature projections.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Singapore on March 22?
Highest temperature in Singapore on March 22?
33°C 39%
32°C 34%
34°C 20%
35°C or higher 3.3%
$69,418 Объем
$69,418 Объем
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
34%
33°C
39%
34°C
20%
35°C or higher
3%
33°C 39%
32°C 34%
34°C 20%
35°C or higher 3.3%
$69,418 Объем
$69,418 Объем
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
34%
33°C
39%
34°C
20%
35°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 18, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 33°C (39.5%) as Singapore's highest temperature on March 22, narrowly ahead of 32°C (33.5%), propelled by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest forecast indicating a daytime peak near 33°C with mostly sunny intervals and minimal afternoon thundershowers. March typically delivers equatorial highs of 32-34°C, but lingering El Niño conditions have suppressed rainfall, boosting solar insolation and urban heat island effects in the densely built city-state. Key differentiators include sea breeze strength—expected to moderate slightly—and cloud cover variability; ensemble models like ECMWF imply a 55-65% probability of 33°C, while 34°C hinges on prolonged clear skies, underscoring tight uncertainty in fine-scale temperature projections.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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