Traders heavily favor 33°C (43.5% implied probability) as Singapore's highest temperature on March 23, driven by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest forecasts predicting peaks of 33-34°C amid ongoing El Niño conditions that have fueled record heat, including 36.4°C on March 20. This aligns with March climatology—average highs near 32°C but skewed hotter by urban heat island effects and reduced sea breezes during the inter-monsoon period. Recent NEA advisories note low rain chances (20-30%), sustaining heat buildup, while 32°C (28.5%) and 34°C (19.5%) reflect model variability from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. Historical data shows March 23 rarely dips below 31°C, positioning lower outcomes as low-probability tails.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сингапуре 23 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Сингапуре 23 марта?
33°C 42%
32°C 30%
34°C 21%
35°C 8.9%
$18,668 Объем
$18,668 Объем
26°C или ниже
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
30%
33°C
42%
34°C
21%
35°C
9%
36°C или выше
2%
33°C 42%
32°C 30%
34°C 21%
35°C 8.9%
$18,668 Объем
$18,668 Объем
26°C или ниже
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
30%
33°C
42%
34°C
21%
35°C
9%
36°C или выше
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders heavily favor 33°C (43.5% implied probability) as Singapore's highest temperature on March 23, driven by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest forecasts predicting peaks of 33-34°C amid ongoing El Niño conditions that have fueled record heat, including 36.4°C on March 20. This aligns with March climatology—average highs near 32°C but skewed hotter by urban heat island effects and reduced sea breezes during the inter-monsoon period. Recent NEA advisories note low rain chances (20-30%), sustaining heat buildup, while 32°C (28.5%) and 34°C (19.5%) reflect model variability from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. Historical data shows March 23 rarely dips below 31°C, positioning lower outcomes as low-probability tails.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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