Trader sentiment for Paris's highest temperature on March 26 reflects sharp divergence in ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, with ECMWF clusters skewing toward 12-14°C amid potential Atlantic ridge amplification, while GFS hints at cooler 5-9°C outcomes from lingering northerly airflow post-recent cold front. Climatological normals hover around 11°C for late March, but high model spread—driven by uncertain jet stream positioning and cloud cover variability—fuels the bimodal odds, assigning 25% each to 14°C+ warmth or 4°C- chill. Météo-France updates expected today could sharpen consensus, as traders weigh historical volatility in transitional spring patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Paris on March 26?
Highest temperature in Paris on March 26?
8°C 19%
9°C 19%
10°C 17%
11°C 17%
4°C or below
9%
5°C
17%
6°C
17%
7°C
17%
8°C
19%
9°C
19%
10°C
17%
11°C
17%
12°C
17%
13°C
17%
14°C or higher
9%
8°C 19%
9°C 19%
10°C 17%
11°C 17%
4°C or below
9%
5°C
17%
6°C
17%
7°C
17%
8°C
19%
9°C
19%
10°C
17%
11°C
17%
12°C
17%
13°C
17%
14°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 22, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Paris's highest temperature on March 26 reflects sharp divergence in ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, with ECMWF clusters skewing toward 12-14°C amid potential Atlantic ridge amplification, while GFS hints at cooler 5-9°C outcomes from lingering northerly airflow post-recent cold front. Climatological normals hover around 11°C for late March, but high model spread—driven by uncertain jet stream positioning and cloud cover variability—fuels the bimodal odds, assigning 25% each to 14°C+ warmth or 4°C- chill. Météo-France updates expected today could sharpen consensus, as traders weigh historical volatility in transitional spring patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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