Trader consensus heavily favors 22°C (45.5%) and 21°C (31%) as Beijing's highest temperature on March 22, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast predicting a midday peak of 21-22°C under a high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly airflow. Recent observations confirm warming trends, with March 20 highs reaching 19°C and March 21 models from ECMWF and GFS converging on similar values amid low wind speeds enhancing urban heat accumulation. Historical March averages hover around 12°C, but this year's weakened East Asian winter monsoon has elevated baselines, positioning outliers like 23°C+ as low-probability tails due to potential afternoon cloudiness or brief cold snaps. Hourly monitoring through late afternoon will sharpen resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on March 22?
Highest temperature in Beijing on March 22?
22°C 47%
21°C 29%
20°C 7%
23°C 5%
$22,939 Объем
$22,939 Объем
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
7%
21°C
29%
22°C
47%
23°C
5%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 47%
21°C 29%
20°C 7%
23°C 5%
$22,939 Объем
$22,939 Объем
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
7%
21°C
29%
22°C
47%
23°C
5%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 6:59 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 22°C (45.5%) and 21°C (31%) as Beijing's highest temperature on March 22, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast predicting a midday peak of 21-22°C under a high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly airflow. Recent observations confirm warming trends, with March 20 highs reaching 19°C and March 21 models from ECMWF and GFS converging on similar values amid low wind speeds enhancing urban heat accumulation. Historical March averages hover around 12°C, but this year's weakened East Asian winter monsoon has elevated baselines, positioning outliers like 23°C+ as low-probability tails due to potential afternoon cloudiness or brief cold snaps. Hourly monitoring through late afternoon will sharpen resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы