Trader sentiment on Beijing's March 24 high temperature clusters tightly around 19-22°C, driven by ensemble weather model consensus from ECMWF and GFS projecting peaks near 20°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds favoring mild advection. Recent China Meteorological Administration updates confirm a diurnal maximum likely between 19-21°C, up from seasonal norms of 13-15°C due to an ongoing early-spring warm anomaly, though a slim chance of increased cloud cover could cap it at 18°C or boost to 22°C via urban heat effects. Model spread reflects short-range uncertainty in boundary layer mixing, with 25°C+ odds fading absent stronger downslope flow; traders eye afternoon observations for resolution cues.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on March 24?
Highest temperature in Beijing on March 24?
19°C 26%
24°C 24.9%
20°C 24%
17°C 21%
15°C or below
5%
16°C
11%
17°C
21%
18°C
18%
19°C
26%
20°C
24%
21°C
21%
22°C
19%
23°C
16%
24°C
14%
25°C or higher
18%
19°C 26%
24°C 24.9%
20°C 24%
17°C 21%
15°C or below
5%
16°C
11%
17°C
21%
18°C
18%
19°C
26%
20°C
24%
21°C
21%
22°C
19%
23°C
16%
24°C
14%
25°C or higher
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Beijing's March 24 high temperature clusters tightly around 19-22°C, driven by ensemble weather model consensus from ECMWF and GFS projecting peaks near 20°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds favoring mild advection. Recent China Meteorological Administration updates confirm a diurnal maximum likely between 19-21°C, up from seasonal norms of 13-15°C due to an ongoing early-spring warm anomaly, though a slim chance of increased cloud cover could cap it at 18°C or boost to 22°C via urban heat effects. Model spread reflects short-range uncertainty in boundary layer mixing, with 25°C+ odds fading absent stronger downslope flow; traders eye afternoon observations for resolution cues.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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