Traders overwhelmingly back 31°C or below (61.5% implied probability) for Lucknow's highest temperature on March 23, propelled by the India Meteorological Department's (IMD) latest forecast predicting a daytime maximum of 30-32°C under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds. Recent observations confirm this trend, with March 22 peaking at 31.2°C amid seasonal cooling from a passing western disturbance suppressing heat buildup. Historical March averages hover around 31.5°C, bolstered by soil moisture retention from prior rains, positioning 32°C (28%) as the next likely outcome while extreme highs above 35°C remain improbable per upper-air stability indices. Monitor IMD's evening update for potential shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 23?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 23?
31°C or below 62%
32°C 29%
33°C 8%
34°C 4.2%
$124,565 Объем
$124,565 Объем
31°C or below
62%
32°C
29%
33°C
8%
34°C
4%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
31°C or below 62%
32°C 29%
33°C 8%
34°C 4.2%
$124,565 Объем
$124,565 Объем
31°C or below
62%
32°C
29%
33°C
8%
34°C
4%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders overwhelmingly back 31°C or below (61.5% implied probability) for Lucknow's highest temperature on March 23, propelled by the India Meteorological Department's (IMD) latest forecast predicting a daytime maximum of 30-32°C under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds. Recent observations confirm this trend, with March 22 peaking at 31.2°C amid seasonal cooling from a passing western disturbance suppressing heat buildup. Historical March averages hover around 31.5°C, bolstered by soil moisture retention from prior rains, positioning 32°C (28%) as the next likely outcome while extreme highs above 35°C remain improbable per upper-air stability indices. Monitor IMD's evening update for potential shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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