Trader sentiment for Lucknow's March 22 peak temperature reflects high uncertainty, with market-implied odds favoring 30°C or below at 31.5% and 31-32°C bins around 18% each, driven by India Meteorological Department's latest GFS and ECMWF models projecting 30-33°C amid lingering winter influences. Key variables include cloud cover from potential western disturbances suppressing highs below 31°C, versus clear skies and southerly winds pushing toward 34°C+ if heat builds; urban heat island effects amplify readings by 1-2°C. Historical March averages hover at 29-32°C, but recent dry spells tilt odds cooler, with evening IMD updates pivotal for resolution amid 2-3°C forecast divergence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 22?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 22?
31°C 19%
32°C 18%
30°C or below 18%
33°C 9%
30°C or below
32%
31°C
19%
32°C
18%
33°C
9%
34°C
9%
35°C
8%
36°C
8%
37°C
8%
38°C
8%
39°C
8%
40°C or higher
8%
31°C 19%
32°C 18%
30°C or below 18%
33°C 9%
30°C or below
32%
31°C
19%
32°C
18%
33°C
9%
34°C
9%
35°C
8%
36°C
8%
37°C
8%
38°C
8%
39°C
8%
40°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Lucknow's March 22 peak temperature reflects high uncertainty, with market-implied odds favoring 30°C or below at 31.5% and 31-32°C bins around 18% each, driven by India Meteorological Department's latest GFS and ECMWF models projecting 30-33°C amid lingering winter influences. Key variables include cloud cover from potential western disturbances suppressing highs below 31°C, versus clear skies and southerly winds pushing toward 34°C+ if heat builds; urban heat island effects amplify readings by 1-2°C. Historical March averages hover at 29-32°C, but recent dry spells tilt odds cooler, with evening IMD updates pivotal for resolution amid 2-3°C forecast divergence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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