Ensemble forecasts from leading models like ECMWF and GFS indicate Milan's highest temperature on March 22 will likely peak between 13°C and 15°C, fueling the tight race among these outcomes at 22-26% implied probabilities each, while capping 18°C+ at 23% amid lingering cool air masses. Recent 00Z runs show a mild high-pressure ridge building over northern Italy, but with model spread reflecting uncertainty from variable cloud cover and northerly winds, historical late-March averages hover around 14°C, and ARPA Lombardia observations confirm today's cooldown after warmer preceding days. Trader consensus weighs this balance, with downside risks from potential frontal passages keeping sub-13°C options viable below 12%.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Милане 22 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Милане 22 марта?
15°C 23%
18°C или выше 22%
13°C 22%
14°C 19%
8°C или ниже
4%
9°C
2%
10°C
3%
11°C
3%
12°C
12%
13°C
22%
14°C
27%
15°C
23%
16°C
19%
17°C
17%
18°C или выше
22%
15°C 23%
18°C или выше 22%
13°C 22%
14°C 19%
8°C или ниже
4%
9°C
2%
10°C
3%
11°C
3%
12°C
12%
13°C
22%
14°C
27%
15°C
23%
16°C
19%
17°C
17%
18°C или выше
22%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 18, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from leading models like ECMWF and GFS indicate Milan's highest temperature on March 22 will likely peak between 13°C and 15°C, fueling the tight race among these outcomes at 22-26% implied probabilities each, while capping 18°C+ at 23% amid lingering cool air masses. Recent 00Z runs show a mild high-pressure ridge building over northern Italy, but with model spread reflecting uncertainty from variable cloud cover and northerly winds, historical late-March averages hover around 14°C, and ARPA Lombardia observations confirm today's cooldown after warmer preceding days. Trader consensus weighs this balance, with downside risks from potential frontal passages keeping sub-13°C options viable below 12%.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы