Trader consensus heavily favors 92-93°F (53.5% implied probability) as Dallas's highest temperature on March 22, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts showing a dominant upper-level high-pressure ridge over the southern Plains promoting subsidence warming and clear skies for maximum solar heating. Ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF converge on afternoon peaks in this range, with southerly winds advecting warm air masses amid low humidity and minimal cloud cover—conditions far above the mid-March climatological normal of 68°F. Recent 12z model runs slightly cooled projections from earlier 94-97°F hints, boosting odds for 92-93°F while trimming 94-95°F (27.5%), as surface observations today hit 88°F under similar setup, underscoring low volatility in short-range guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Далласе 22 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Далласе 22 марта?
92-93°F 53%
94-95°F 27%
90-91°F 15.6%
96-97°F 8.8%
$89,282 Объем
$89,282 Объем
79°F или ниже
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
16%
92-93°F
53%
94-95°F
27%
96-97°F
9%
98°F или выше
1%
92-93°F 53%
94-95°F 27%
90-91°F 15.6%
96-97°F 8.8%
$89,282 Объем
$89,282 Объем
79°F или ниже
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
16%
92-93°F
53%
94-95°F
27%
96-97°F
9%
98°F или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 92-93°F (53.5% implied probability) as Dallas's highest temperature on March 22, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts showing a dominant upper-level high-pressure ridge over the southern Plains promoting subsidence warming and clear skies for maximum solar heating. Ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF converge on afternoon peaks in this range, with southerly winds advecting warm air masses amid low humidity and minimal cloud cover—conditions far above the mid-March climatological normal of 68°F. Recent 12z model runs slightly cooled projections from earlier 94-97°F hints, boosting odds for 92-93°F while trimming 94-95°F (27.5%), as surface observations today hit 88°F under similar setup, underscoring low volatility in short-range guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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