Latest National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles peg Dallas's March 23 high near 80-81°F, driving the tight race atop Polymarket odds, as a strengthening upper-level ridge ushers southwesterly flow and warm advection from Mexico, boosting temps well above the mid-60s March climatology. Differentiating factors include GFS projections skewing hotter toward 84°F+ via enhanced downslope warming and urban heat island effects in Dallas, versus cooler ECMWF runs at 78-80°F assuming slight high cloud intrusion; minimal thunderstorm risk preserves peak afternoon heating around 3-5 PM. Trader consensus weighs this spread against historical analogs, where similar setups have swung 4-5°F based on ridge amplitude.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Dallas on March 23?
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 23?
84°F or higher 25%
80-81°F 21%
82-83°F 20%
78-79°F 14.7%
$18,277 Объем
$18,277 Объем
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
20%
84°F or higher
25%
84°F or higher 25%
80-81°F 21%
82-83°F 20%
78-79°F 14.7%
$18,277 Объем
$18,277 Объем
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
20%
84°F or higher
25%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles peg Dallas's March 23 high near 80-81°F, driving the tight race atop Polymarket odds, as a strengthening upper-level ridge ushers southwesterly flow and warm advection from Mexico, boosting temps well above the mid-60s March climatology. Differentiating factors include GFS projections skewing hotter toward 84°F+ via enhanced downslope warming and urban heat island effects in Dallas, versus cooler ECMWF runs at 78-80°F assuming slight high cloud intrusion; minimal thunderstorm risk preserves peak afternoon heating around 3-5 PM. Trader consensus weighs this spread against historical analogs, where similar setups have swung 4-5°F based on ridge amplitude.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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