Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a Houston high of 84-85°F (40.5%) on March 24, propelled by the latest National Weather Service forecast and ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF converging on afternoon peaks in that bin amid a robust subtropical ridge fostering subsidence and southerly flow. Recent 00z model runs adjusted warmer by 1-2°F from prior outputs, reflecting amplified Gulf moisture influx elevating dewpoints to the 60s°F and limiting convective interference for maximal insolation. This setup diverges from March climatological averages near 77°F but aligns with historical analogs like 2023's ridge-driven spikes; upcoming 12z guidance could refine probabilities as resolution nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Houston on March 24?
Highest temperature in Houston on March 24?
84-85°F 32%
80-81°F 26%
82-83°F 26%
88-89°F 17%
75°F or below
3%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
41%
86-87°F
16%
88-89°F
17%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
3%
94°F or higher
2%
84-85°F 32%
80-81°F 26%
82-83°F 26%
88-89°F 17%
75°F or below
3%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
41%
86-87°F
16%
88-89°F
17%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
3%
94°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 20, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a Houston high of 84-85°F (40.5%) on March 24, propelled by the latest National Weather Service forecast and ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF converging on afternoon peaks in that bin amid a robust subtropical ridge fostering subsidence and southerly flow. Recent 00z model runs adjusted warmer by 1-2°F from prior outputs, reflecting amplified Gulf moisture influx elevating dewpoints to the 60s°F and limiting convective interference for maximal insolation. This setup diverges from March climatological averages near 77°F but aligns with historical analogs like 2023's ridge-driven spikes; upcoming 12z guidance could refine probabilities as resolution nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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