Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Tel Aviv high temperature of 19°C (29.5% implied probability) on March 24, closely trailed by 18°C (23.5%) and 20°C (22%), reflecting tight ensemble spreads in leading forecast models like ECMWF and GFS from the Israel Meteorological Service. Late March's Mediterranean climate typically delivers mild highs averaging 19-21°C historically, but current stable high-pressure ridge and light northerly winds introduce cooling advection, capping peaks while diel heating pushes toward 19°C at official stations like Ben Gurion Airport. Subtle cloud cover variations and sea-breeze moderation differentiate these outcomes, with traders eyeing afternoon model updates for potential 1°C shifts amid low volatility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 24?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 24?
18°C 35%
19°C 23%
21°C 17%
20°C 15%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
11%
16°C
16%
17°C
14%
18°C
24%
19°C
30%
20°C
22%
21°C
17%
22°C
12%
23°C or higher
7%
18°C 35%
19°C 23%
21°C 17%
20°C 15%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
11%
16°C
16%
17°C
14%
18°C
24%
19°C
30%
20°C
22%
21°C
17%
22°C
12%
23°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Tel Aviv high temperature of 19°C (29.5% implied probability) on March 24, closely trailed by 18°C (23.5%) and 20°C (22%), reflecting tight ensemble spreads in leading forecast models like ECMWF and GFS from the Israel Meteorological Service. Late March's Mediterranean climate typically delivers mild highs averaging 19-21°C historically, but current stable high-pressure ridge and light northerly winds introduce cooling advection, capping peaks while diel heating pushes toward 19°C at official stations like Ben Gurion Airport. Subtle cloud cover variations and sea-breeze moderation differentiate these outcomes, with traders eyeing afternoon model updates for potential 1°C shifts amid low volatility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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