Tight competition between 19°C (30%) and 18°C (28.5%) in trader odds stems from converging global model forecasts, with ECMWF ensembles averaging 19.2°C and GFS at 18.4°C for Beijing's March 23 high, driven by persistent southerly winds from a weakening Siberian high-pressure ridge. These mild projections exceed the 1981-2010 March average of 14.5°C, reflecting accelerated spring warming trends in North China. Differentiating factors include afternoon boundary-layer mixing—favoring 19°C on clearer skies per latest satellite data—and potential low-level clouds capping at 18°C, as hinted in CMA guidance. Ensemble spread of ±1.5°C underscores uncertainty ahead of diurnal peak observations from Beijing Capital Airport.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on March 23?
Highest temperature in Beijing on March 23?
19°C 37%
20°C 35%
18°C 29%
17°C 16%
13°C or below
2%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
10%
17°C
16%
18°C
29%
19°C
31%
20°C
25%
21°C
7%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
2%
19°C 37%
20°C 35%
18°C 29%
17°C 16%
13°C or below
2%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
10%
17°C
16%
18°C
29%
19°C
31%
20°C
25%
21°C
7%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tight competition between 19°C (30%) and 18°C (28.5%) in trader odds stems from converging global model forecasts, with ECMWF ensembles averaging 19.2°C and GFS at 18.4°C for Beijing's March 23 high, driven by persistent southerly winds from a weakening Siberian high-pressure ridge. These mild projections exceed the 1981-2010 March average of 14.5°C, reflecting accelerated spring warming trends in North China. Differentiating factors include afternoon boundary-layer mixing—favoring 19°C on clearer skies per latest satellite data—and potential low-level clouds capping at 18°C, as hinted in CMA guidance. Ensemble spread of ±1.5°C underscores uncertainty ahead of diurnal peak observations from Beijing Capital Airport.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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