Latest Hong Kong Observatory forecasts pinpoint a high of 26-28°C on March 27, fueling the tight trader consensus with 27°C (31%), 26°C (27%), and 28°C (26%) dominating odds, as subtropical high-pressure ridges suppress clouds and boost daytime heating. Historical March peaks average 24°C, but warmer northerly air advection—evident in recent GFS and ECMWF ensembles—elevates baselines, differentiating outcomes via minor variances in sea-breeze timing and urban heat island effects at the King's Park observatory. Light winds under 10 km/h minimize cooling, though overnight lows near 22°C introduce slight diurnal uncertainty; traders eye tomorrow's 1200 UTC update for resolution shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on March 27?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on March 27?
27°C 31%
26°C 27%
28°C 26%
25°C 18%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
5%
25°C
18%
26°C
27%
27°C
31%
28°C
26%
29°C or higher
4%
27°C 31%
26°C 27%
28°C 26%
25°C 18%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
5%
25°C
18%
26°C
27%
27°C
31%
28°C
26%
29°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Hong Kong Observatory forecasts pinpoint a high of 26-28°C on March 27, fueling the tight trader consensus with 27°C (31%), 26°C (27%), and 28°C (26%) dominating odds, as subtropical high-pressure ridges suppress clouds and boost daytime heating. Historical March peaks average 24°C, but warmer northerly air advection—evident in recent GFS and ECMWF ensembles—elevates baselines, differentiating outcomes via minor variances in sea-breeze timing and urban heat island effects at the King's Park observatory. Light winds under 10 km/h minimize cooling, though overnight lows near 22°C introduce slight diurnal uncertainty; traders eye tomorrow's 1200 UTC update for resolution shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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