Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecasts point to a midday high around 27°C on March 28, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering in sunny skies and light winds that favor afternoon heating in the city's subtropical climate. This edges out 25-26°C outcomes, as historical late-March data averages 24-25°C but recent days have trended warmer amid low humidity and elevated sea surface temperatures enhancing urban heat. Trader sentiment clusters tightly due to model ensembles diverging on peak solar insolation versus potential sea-breeze moderation, with 28°C+ viable if clouds hold off but lower odds for cooler scenarios absent any frontal passage. Key watch: HKO's evening update for refined hourly projections.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on March 28?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on March 28?
27°C 37%
25°C 28%
26°C 27%
28°C or higher 19%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
7%
20°C
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
9%
23°C
9%
24°C
16%
25°C
28%
26°C
27%
27°C
37%
28°C or higher
22%
27°C 37%
25°C 28%
26°C 27%
28°C or higher 19%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
7%
20°C
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
9%
23°C
9%
24°C
16%
25°C
28%
26°C
27%
27°C
37%
28°C or higher
22%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecasts point to a midday high around 27°C on March 28, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering in sunny skies and light winds that favor afternoon heating in the city's subtropical climate. This edges out 25-26°C outcomes, as historical late-March data averages 24-25°C but recent days have trended warmer amid low humidity and elevated sea surface temperatures enhancing urban heat. Trader sentiment clusters tightly due to model ensembles diverging on peak solar insolation versus potential sea-breeze moderation, with 28°C+ viable if clouds hold off but lower odds for cooler scenarios absent any frontal passage. Key watch: HKO's evening update for refined hourly projections.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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