Trader consensus clusters tightly around 9°C and 10°C at 27% each for London's highest temperature on March 25, driven by the latest ECMWF and UK Met Office ensemble forecasts indicating peak afternoon highs of 9-11°C under a mild westerly airflow from the Atlantic. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences: ECMWF's control run favors 9°C with persistent low cloud and northerly breezes capping warmth, while GFS ensembles lean slightly warmer toward 10°C amid potential clearer skies and solar heating. Historical late-March averages hover near 11°C, but current geopotential height patterns and soil moisture deficits limit upside, with short-range uncertainty from frontal timing keeping 11°C viable at 23% amid converging probabilistic outputs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лондоне 25 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Лондоне 25 марта?
9°C 27%
10°C 27%
11°C 23%
12°C 18%
5°C или ниже
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
10%
9°C
27%
10°C
27%
11°C
23%
12°C
18%
13°C
5%
14°C
3%
15°C или выше
1%
9°C 27%
10°C 27%
11°C 23%
12°C 18%
5°C или ниже
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
10%
9°C
27%
10°C
27%
11°C
23%
12°C
18%
13°C
5%
14°C
3%
15°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 21, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 9°C and 10°C at 27% each for London's highest temperature on March 25, driven by the latest ECMWF and UK Met Office ensemble forecasts indicating peak afternoon highs of 9-11°C under a mild westerly airflow from the Atlantic. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences: ECMWF's control run favors 9°C with persistent low cloud and northerly breezes capping warmth, while GFS ensembles lean slightly warmer toward 10°C amid potential clearer skies and solar heating. Historical late-March averages hover near 11°C, but current geopotential height patterns and soil moisture deficits limit upside, with short-range uncertainty from frontal timing keeping 11°C viable at 23% amid converging probabilistic outputs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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