Ensemble weather models from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF currently cluster forecasted highs for Chicago's O'Hare Airport on March 25 around 56-58°F, anchoring trader sentiment with 56-57°F leading at 26.5% implied probability amid tight competition from adjacent bins. Recent 00Z model runs indicate a weak upper-level ridge allowing southerly flow and mild advection early in the day, but a developing clipper low pressure system threatens afternoon cooling and clouds, capping peaks below 60°F per NWS Chicago's latest guidance projecting 57°F. Historical March 25 norms hover near 46°F, making this above-average outlook sensitive to boundary layer mixing and any convective interference, with upcoming 12Z updates pivotal for resolution odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чикаго 25 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Чикаго 25 марта?
58-59°F 18%
56-57°F 16%
60-61°F 15%
54-55°F 14%
$11,829 Объем
$11,829 Объем
49°F или ниже
4%
50-51°F
4%
52-53°F
7%
54-55°F
14%
56-57°F
16%
58-59°F
18%
60-61°F
15%
62-63°F
12%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
5%
68°F или выше
3%
58-59°F 18%
56-57°F 16%
60-61°F 15%
54-55°F 14%
$11,829 Объем
$11,829 Объем
49°F или ниже
4%
50-51°F
4%
52-53°F
7%
54-55°F
14%
56-57°F
16%
58-59°F
18%
60-61°F
15%
62-63°F
12%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
5%
68°F или выше
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble weather models from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF currently cluster forecasted highs for Chicago's O'Hare Airport on March 25 around 56-58°F, anchoring trader sentiment with 56-57°F leading at 26.5% implied probability amid tight competition from adjacent bins. Recent 00Z model runs indicate a weak upper-level ridge allowing southerly flow and mild advection early in the day, but a developing clipper low pressure system threatens afternoon cooling and clouds, capping peaks below 60°F per NWS Chicago's latest guidance projecting 57°F. Historical March 25 norms hover near 46°F, making this above-average outlook sensitive to boundary layer mixing and any convective interference, with upcoming 12Z updates pivotal for resolution odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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