Trader sentiment on Chengdu's March 27 high temperature clusters tightly around 19–23°C, driven by ensemble weather models like ECMWF and GFS projecting peaks near 21–22°C amid a mild spring ridge pattern over Sichuan Basin. Recent developments, including a departing cold front and increasing solar insolation with clearing skies, favor slight warming from yesterday's 19°C observed high, boosting odds for 22°C (21%) and 21°C (20.5%). Differentiating factors include model spread—ECMWF leans warmer at 22–23°C due to stronger subsidence, while GFS hints cooler at 20–21°C from residual moisture—against March climatology of 18–20°C averages, with low-probability tails reflecting rare heatwaves or inversions. Key watch: noon-hour observations resolving intraday peaks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on March 27?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on March 27?
22°C 21%
21°C 21%
23°C 19%
20°C 17%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
9%
19°C
16%
20°C
17%
21°C
21%
22°C
21%
23°C
19%
24°C or higher
7%
22°C 21%
21°C 21%
23°C 19%
20°C 17%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
9%
19°C
16%
20°C
17%
21°C
21%
22°C
21%
23°C
19%
24°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 6:08 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Chengdu's March 27 high temperature clusters tightly around 19–23°C, driven by ensemble weather models like ECMWF and GFS projecting peaks near 21–22°C amid a mild spring ridge pattern over Sichuan Basin. Recent developments, including a departing cold front and increasing solar insolation with clearing skies, favor slight warming from yesterday's 19°C observed high, boosting odds for 22°C (21%) and 21°C (20.5%). Differentiating factors include model spread—ECMWF leans warmer at 22–23°C due to stronger subsidence, while GFS hints cooler at 20–21°C from residual moisture—against March climatology of 18–20°C averages, with low-probability tails reflecting rare heatwaves or inversions. Key watch: noon-hour observations resolving intraday peaks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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