Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 22°C as Beijing's highest temperature on March 27, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting peaks of 21-23°C amid a high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly winds and above-normal spring warmth. Historical March 27 highs in Beijing average 14-16°C per China Meteorological Administration data, but this year's positive temperature anomaly—fueled by reduced Arctic air intrusions—has narrowed the spread, with 21°C gaining from scenarios of partial cloudiness suppressing peaks, while 23°C reflects clearer skies in optimistic runs. Urban heat island effects amplify readings at official stations like Haidian, heightening resolution sensitivity; traders eye final CMA updates for differentiation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on March 27?
Highest temperature in Beijing on March 27?
22°C 30%
21°C 21%
23°C 16%
20°C 16%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
12%
20°C
16%
21°C
21%
22°C
30%
23°C
16%
24°C
13%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
2%
22°C 30%
21°C 21%
23°C 16%
20°C 16%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
12%
20°C
16%
21°C
21%
22°C
30%
23°C
16%
24°C
13%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 22°C as Beijing's highest temperature on March 27, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting peaks of 21-23°C amid a high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly winds and above-normal spring warmth. Historical March 27 highs in Beijing average 14-16°C per China Meteorological Administration data, but this year's positive temperature anomaly—fueled by reduced Arctic air intrusions—has narrowed the spread, with 21°C gaining from scenarios of partial cloudiness suppressing peaks, while 23°C reflects clearer skies in optimistic runs. Urban heat island effects amplify readings at official stations like Haidian, heightening resolution sensitivity; traders eye final CMA updates for differentiation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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