Latest ensemble forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a spread of high temperatures in Dallas on March 27 between 74-83°F, with means clustering near 79°F, fueling trader consensus around the 76-81°F range at 16.5-21.5% implied probabilities. Divergence arises from uncertainty in a weak upper-level trough's influence, potential diurnal cloud cover suppressing peaks, and dryline positioning east of DFW, which could enhance mixing for warmer outcomes or stall for cooler ones. National Weather Service guidance for Dallas-Fort Worth aligns with 78-82°F, but model disagreements highlight 2-3°F variability common in transitional spring patterns. New 12z runs today and tomorrow's 00z updates may sharpen resolution ahead of the event. Historical March 27 highs average 71°F, underscoring the mild above-normal risk priced in.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Dallas on March 27?
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 27?
80-81°F 22%
78-79°F 17%
76-77°F 16%
82-83°F 16%
$33,030 Объем
$33,030 Объем
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
7%
86°F or higher
4%
80-81°F 22%
78-79°F 17%
76-77°F 16%
82-83°F 16%
$33,030 Объем
$33,030 Объем
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
7%
86°F or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a spread of high temperatures in Dallas on March 27 between 74-83°F, with means clustering near 79°F, fueling trader consensus around the 76-81°F range at 16.5-21.5% implied probabilities. Divergence arises from uncertainty in a weak upper-level trough's influence, potential diurnal cloud cover suppressing peaks, and dryline positioning east of DFW, which could enhance mixing for warmer outcomes or stall for cooler ones. National Weather Service guidance for Dallas-Fort Worth aligns with 78-82°F, but model disagreements highlight 2-3°F variability common in transitional spring patterns. New 12z runs today and tomorrow's 00z updates may sharpen resolution ahead of the event. Historical March 27 highs average 71°F, underscoring the mild above-normal risk priced in.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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