Latest MetService ensemble forecasts project Wellington's March 28 high temperature near 21°C under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge ushering mild northerlies, fueling its leading 34% implied probability amid tight trader competition with 20°C (26%) and 19°C (24%). Differentiating factors hinge on model divergences—ECMWF clusters warmer with clearer skies boosting insolation, while GFS hints at timing of sea breezes that could cap peaks at 19-20°C via coastal cooling. March climatological normals hover at 20°C, but elevated Tasman Sea surface temperatures support upside risk, though wind shear variability keeps lower outcomes viable per recent soundings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on March 28?
Highest temperature in Wellington on March 28?
21°C 34%
20°C 26%
19°C 24%
18°C 16%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
7%
16°C
7%
17°C
7%
18°C
12%
19°C
24%
20°C
26%
21°C
34%
22°C
6%
23°C or higher
6%
21°C 34%
20°C 26%
19°C 24%
18°C 16%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
7%
16°C
7%
17°C
7%
18°C
12%
19°C
24%
20°C
26%
21°C
34%
22°C
6%
23°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest MetService ensemble forecasts project Wellington's March 28 high temperature near 21°C under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge ushering mild northerlies, fueling its leading 34% implied probability amid tight trader competition with 20°C (26%) and 19°C (24%). Differentiating factors hinge on model divergences—ECMWF clusters warmer with clearer skies boosting insolation, while GFS hints at timing of sea breezes that could cap peaks at 19-20°C via coastal cooling. March climatological normals hover at 20°C, but elevated Tasman Sea surface temperatures support upside risk, though wind shear variability keeps lower outcomes viable per recent soundings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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