MetService's latest forecast models indicate a consensus high temperature near 19°C for Wellington on March 29, driving trader sentiment toward tightly clustered odds around 18–20°C amid mild autumn conditions. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows minimal spread, with southerly winds and sea breezes moderating daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, while recent upper-air soundings confirm a stable boundary layer limiting peaks above 21°C. Historical late-March averages hover at 19–20°C, but subtle differences in cloud cover timing and frontal boundary position create uncertainty differentiating the top outcomes. Updated 12z model runs tomorrow will provide fresh clarity ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on March 29?
Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?
18°C 24%
19°C 22%
20°C 20%
21°C 12%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
7%
16°C
9%
17°C
14%
18°C
24%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
12%
22°C
6%
23°C or higher
7%
18°C 24%
19°C 22%
20°C 20%
21°C 12%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
7%
16°C
9%
17°C
14%
18°C
24%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
12%
22°C
6%
23°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast models indicate a consensus high temperature near 19°C for Wellington on March 29, driving trader sentiment toward tightly clustered odds around 18–20°C amid mild autumn conditions. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows minimal spread, with southerly winds and sea breezes moderating daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, while recent upper-air soundings confirm a stable boundary layer limiting peaks above 21°C. Historical late-March averages hover at 19–20°C, but subtle differences in cloud cover timing and frontal boundary position create uncertainty differentiating the top outcomes. Updated 12z model runs tomorrow will provide fresh clarity ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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